by Martin Taylor, CTO, Metaswitch

Here are some of my predictions for 2016:
1. Pragmatic network operators in 2016 will progress the fastest; those who deploy proven VNFs that are not too demanding on cloud, SDN, orchestration or OSS/BSS integration will usefully move the virtualization needle in 2016. Leading solutions will:
- Deliver high availability on vanilla cloud infrastructures without relying on a specially-engineered cloud infrastructure to deliver high availability.
- Require only basic IP connectivity from the NFV network fabric, vs. requiring a high degree of programmability to create service function chains.
- Have simple life-cycles and be able to deliver most of their value with little or no orchestration beyond initial deployment, vs. requiring sophisticated orchestration.
- Have few and simple OSS / BSS touchpoints, rather than having complex configuration and management requirements and involving a lot of custom work to interface them to OSS and BSS.
2. VoLTE and CPE will be the two most active areas of the network for NFV-based buildouts in the coming year.
- VoLTE is a service that requires a number of network functions to be deployed including IMS, SBC, TAS and SCC-AS, all of which are available in virtualized form.
- Many services offered by network operators require the deployment of multiple items of CPE, e.g. Metro Ethernet access device, firewall, WAN accelerator, intrusion detection system, enterprise SBC – each of which is currently deployed today as a separate physical appliance. NFV offers the opportunity to virtualize all these functions and deploy them as software in a generic CPE device based on a server, or in a service provider’s cloud in a metro data center, thus removing the need to ship and install a multiplicity of physical appliances on the customer premises.
3. While 2016 will see NFV cloud and orchestration solutions mature, OSS/BSS will emerge as the biggest brake on NFV progress.
- There are two issues here. First, integration with OSS / BSS is usually the long pole in the tent when it comes to deploying any new network function. There are numerous backend systems that a network function needs to talk to for provisioning, configuration, alarms, performance reporting, etc., and integrating with a network function at each of these touchpoints often requires custom software work. This issue does not go away just because a network function is virtualized.
- Secondly, traditional OSS / BSS is not well suited to managing virtualized network functions because its view of the world is appliance-centric and it doesn’t know how to handle shifting populations of different kinds of virtual machines that together do the work of a physical appliance. OSS / BSS needs to evolve very substantially to cope with the realities of NFV, and this will take time.
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